Dr. Fraser’s Daily Notes: 22012025

*Dr. Fraser’s Daily Notes: 22012025:* One thing that is not easy to see is that our exports to many countries are increasing: our exports to India, Brazil, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Mexico are all increasing. Some rose by more than 1%, such as Russia, which was unable to export on a large scale due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and some directly rose by more than 7%.

Taking ASEAN as a whole in 2024 as an example, ASEAN’s surplus with the United States has expanded, and more things have been sold to the United States, but on the other hand, we see that ASEAN’s deficit with China has also expanded. Buy more things from China, transfer them to ASEAN and then to the United States.

一個不容易看到的是,我們對許多國家的出口都在增加:對印度、巴西、俄羅斯、沙烏地阿拉伯、墨西哥的出口都在增加。有的上漲超過1%,例如俄羅斯因為俄烏衝突,無法大規模出口,有的直接上漲超過7%。
以2024年東協整體為例,東協對美國的順差擴大了,賣給美國的東西更多了,但是另一方面我們看到東協對中國的逆差也在擴大。從中國購買更多東西,轉運到東盟,再轉運到美國。